Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 46.625563 53.492943 60.630277 68.570442 77.125957 86.037927 95.993833
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 35.553947 45.081252 55.560747 67.810847 81.610938 96.559442 113.860623
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.724857 39.468825 51.818838 66.789981 84.188089 103.533993 126.441439
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.225017 35.804547 49.642864 66.940584 87.556693 110.958268 139.157018
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.712713 32.828551 47.842841 67.133433 90.634324 117.779451 150.966266
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.054827 30.584847 46.644766 67.792827 94.052891 124.838358 162.934193
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.230035 27.766896 44.429404 66.938720 95.433283 129.332503 171.779121
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.582052 26.380480 43.917264 68.104271 99.194064 136.605724 183.876021
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.267158 25.316524 43.715276 69.574510 103.269305 144.224086 196.378635
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.421131 23.224468 41.924814 68.808453 104.401216 148.166011 204.399722
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.520008 20.789718 39.449445 66.951722 103.994217 150.102361 209.903322
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.051231 20.676440 40.307826 69.629399 109.478590 159.394494 224.443866
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.347013 20.090119 40.440896 71.315450 113.713899 167.208904 237.302425
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.113981 18.377637 38.743907 70.335391 114.352100 170.445131 244.489802
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.041895 16.785481 37.099224 69.319584 114.856784 173.450161 251.346963
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.323908 15.777629 36.301952 69.469611 116.896922 178.401100 260.635268
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.701611 14.859137 35.575319 69.667535 118.965578 183.370279 269.944866
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.225299 14.179131 35.193067 70.342157 121.671042 189.161720 280.305064
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.598207 12.992625 33.841072 69.468217 122.161692 192.019185 286.914293
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.304102 12.591551 33.842771 70.660824 125.554981 198.705155 298.435701
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.074643 12.318247 34.051362 72.164944 129.391080 205.989652 310.750504
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.640014 11.324112 32.848757 71.381268 129.917156 208.847873 317.356668
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.182384 10.057675 31.008264 69.481520 128.762686 209.406471 320.951861